You already know just how close the racing has been in the ultra-competitive pressure cooker that is the 250 Class of the Lucas Oil Pro Motocross Championship. Everyone is working hard, nobody wants to give anyone an inch and it shows in the results. To get a better idea of just how close things are heading into the finale, let’s take a look at some of the stats from Blake Baggett and Eli Tomac, the two racers that currently sit in first and second place in points.
| Rider | Overall Wins | Moto Wins | 2nd Place | 3rd Place | 4th Place | 5th Place | Holeshots |
| Baggett | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Tomac | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
As you can see, Baggett and Tomac are incredibly close. They both have the same number of overall wins, they are very close in seconds and thirds, and are tied in fourths and fifths. Neither racer has finished worse than fifth overall, either. Another interesting point is that both of them have been absolutely terrible at nailing holeshots. Baggett leads Tomac in holeshots taken, 1-0, but with twenty-two motos in the books, they might as well be tied in this category as well.
It all comes down to the season finale for Barcia (left), Baggett (middle) and Tomac (right).
Simon Cudby photo
These stats have the potential to tighten up even further this weekend at The Red Bull Elsinore National. If Tomac goes 1-1 and Baggett records another 4-4 (which is what happened at Steel City), the two will find themselves tied in points with 508 apiece. In this scenario, Tomac would take the title due to more overall wins. But if Tomac goes, for example, 1-2 without winning the overall and Baggett goes 4-6 or 6-4, they’ll be tied with 505 points, they’ll have the same number of overall wins and they’ll each have nine moto wins. Tomac would still get the championship nod in this situation by virtue of holding more second place finishes than Baggett. It could come down to the third tie-breaker!
That's close, but don't forget that Justin Barcia also sits just four points behind Tomac in third. Those two GEICO Honda teammates have been nearly deadlocked all year, remember, they split the East and West Lites SX Titles in Monster Energy Supercross, and then went 1-2, in the shootout in Vegas, seperated by just a few bike lengths. How close are they outdoors? After 22 motos, Barcia and Tomac carry the exact same average moto finish of 2.9.
Throw in comp from the Red Bull KTM duo of Ken Roczen and Marvin Musquin, and this just might be the closest year we’ve ever seen in the history of 125/250F/Lites racing, and we’ve still got one race to go with a championship still on the line. Buckle up race fans, Elsinore could be a wild one!
