Racer X - Motocross & Supercross NewsRacer X

  • Subscribe Now
  • Latest
  • Features
  • Breaking News

Racer X - Motocross & Supercross NewsRacer X

  • One Click Sign-In

    • Facebook
    • Twitter
    OR

    Sign in with your username and password

    • Sign In
  • Features
    • 10 Things
    • 30 Greatest AMA Motocrossers
    • 3 on 3
    • 250 Words
    • 450 Words
    • Arenacross Report
    • Between the Motos
    • Breakdown
    • Deals of the Week
    • GNCC Report
    • Great Battles
    • How to Watch
    • Injury Report
    • Insight
    • In the Mag, On the Web
    • Lockdown Diaries
    • Longform
    • MXGP Race Reports
    • My Favorite Loretta Lynn's Moto
    • Next
    • Next Level
    • Observations
    • On This Day in Moto
    • Open Mic
    • Privateer Profile
    • Race Day Feed
    • Racerhead
    • Racer X Awards
    • Racer X Redux
    • Rapid Reaxtion
    • RX Exhaust
    • Saturday Night Live
    • Staging Area
    • The Conversation
    • The List
    • The Moment
    • Things We Learned at the Ranch
    • Unphiltered
    • Wake-Up Call
    • Where Are They Now
    • 50 Years of Pro Motocross
  • Multimedia
    • Podcasts
    • Photo Galleries
    • The Weege Show
    • Racer X Films
    • Video
    • SX Preview Shows
    • Factory Tech Tip
    • MX Preview Shows
    • Behind The Bars
    • Racer X Rapid News
  • Races
    • Series Schedules
    • TV Schedules
    • Results
    • Champions
    • 2023 Numbers
    • Teams
  • Results
    • Points Standings
    • Race Results
    • Riders
    • The Vault
    • Loretta Lynn's Vault
  • Shop
  • About Us
  • The Mag
    • Digital Magazine Bookstand
    • Customer Care
    • Current Issue
    • Newsletter
    • Store Locator
    • Subscribe
    • Free Stickers
    • Sell Racer X
  • Table of Contents
  • Subscribe Now
  • Latest
  • Features
  • Breaking News
Results Archive
Arenacross
Guthrie
Articles
Supercross
San Diego
Articles
450SX Results
  1. Eli Tomac
  2. Cooper Webb
  3. Justin Barcia
Full Results
250SX West Results
  1. Jett Lawrence
  2. R.J. Hampshire
  3. Cameron McAdoo
Full Results
Arenacross
Guthrie
Articles
Supercross
Anaheim 2
Articles
450SX Results
  1. Chase Sexton
  2. Jason Anderson
  3. Ken Roczen
Full Results
250SX West Results
  1. Levi Kitchen
  2. Jett Lawrence
  3. Stilez Robertson
Full Results
Upcoming
Arenacross
Reno
Fri Feb 3
Articles
Upcoming
Supercross
Houston
Sat Feb 4
Articles
Upcoming
Arenacross
Denver
Fri Feb 10
Articles
Upcoming
Supercross
Tampa
Sat Feb 11
Articles
Full Schedule
Breakdown: RedBud Review and Preview
Jason Thomas

Jason Thomas

Breakdown RedBud Review and Preview

September 6, 2020 12:50pm
by: Jason Thomas
  • Home
  • Breakdown
  • Jason Thomas Preview for RedBud 2 National - Motocross

After 30 years in the off-road parts business, we never stopped developing and improving our products. That’s why Polisport is an OEM supplier of some of the main motorcycle brands. We create exclusive technologies, constantly think of innovative products, and we always care for the customer. We make performance plastics!

Advertisement | Advertise with Us
Buchanan, MI RedBud National II AMA Pro Motocross Championship

Monday’s RedBud 2 National should see significantly different conditions than Friday. We are expecting rain on both Sunday afternoon and then again overnight leading into practice. That should leave the track much softer and deeper than what we saw just a few days ago. While that forecast sounds ominous, I think it will actually be more in the range of what we consider “normal” for RedBud. The track will be rutty and a bit slower than Friday, but both of those are standard RedBud conditions on national weekend.

The bigger question is how will the changing conditions effect the results. On Friday, we saw both Jeremy Martin and Zach Osborne run off to 1-1 results, changing the overall feel of the championship in both classes. Their rivals will be looking for a reversal on Monday, undoing the damage done. One key to Friday’s success was in the first 100 yards of the day, that all-important start. The end-of-day results were very easily correlated to the first lap positioning. Even for heavyweights like Eli Tomac and Dylan Ferrandis, their poor starts really made life difficult. They will surely be looking to correct that on Monday afternoon.

How deep and rutted will conditions be for Monday? The exact same track might feel much different for RedBud 2.
How deep and rutted will conditions be for Monday? The exact same track might feel much different for RedBud 2. Align Media

The last aspect I will be watching for is on the fitness recovery front. This quick turnaround is a new wrinkle for the Lucas Oil AMA Pro Motocross Championship. Riders have been hydrating and resting over the weekend but many won’t know just how much of a toll Friday took until late into each moto. My expectation is that this will vary throughout the field. I don’t think riders will be exhausted, per se, but I think we will hear a few riders mention feeling “flat.” That “flat” feeling is a tell-tale sign when the body hasn’t quite recovered yet. It’s a very common feeling during boot camp or heavy training periods of the season. It is characterized by a “going through the motions” feeling in the race. It becomes very difficult to raise one’s intensity during the race and even when wanting to push, the body just says “nah.” It’s hard to predict who and when this will come to pass but I think it will be the story of Monday afternoon for a few.

How well will riders manage their recovery after a hard run at RedBud 1?
How well will riders manage their recovery after a hard run at RedBud 1? Align Media

Fantasy Talk

This RedBud 2 round comes down to who did well and who did poorly on Friday and trying to capitalize on the opportunity Monday. I know that’s very basic advice, but I’ve said time and again that fantasy is often about timing. There are riders that are capable of grabbing a solid finishing position in every race, but then they’ll have a moto with a crash or bike problem and that sinks your chances for the week…but if you didn’t take them, their odds get so much better for the next race. So, after Friday, Fredrik Noren, Mitchell Harrison, John Short, Jeremy Smith, Jake Masterpool, and Jo Shimoda all fit that bill. A few of those opportunities have been removed, though. Riders like Benny Bloss and Luke Renzland would be hot picks for Monday after a tough Friday but I don’t expect either of them to be racing due to injury. It’s always an unpredictable dynamic for who will have a good day versus bad day. There are so many variables that arise during 70 minutes of racing. A crash, a bad start, a mechanical issue, or a catastrophic engine failure like Alex Ray faced on Friday morning can all ruin the entire day. I will be looking for the “good picks” on Friday that didn’t pay off and implementing them into my bounceback plan on Monday. Results usually revert back to the mean over time so a bad day on Friday can very easily turn into a solid day on Monday.

Don’t Miss a Moto!

 

Sign up for our newsletter to get headlines, info, and scoops as soon as they break. As a bonus, you’ll be entered into our weekly giveaways too!

TGI Freeday - Newsletter Giveaway
By subscribing, you agree to our privacy policy. Must be 18 years of age or older to win.
Forms on this page are protected by reCAPTCHA, its Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Bold Predictions:

Justin Barcia sets his alarm for 3 a.m. and heads outside his hotel room to welcome the incoming rain.

Adam Cianciarulo has a restraining order drawn up and faxed over to Barcia’s camp.

Everyone from Joey Savatgy to Taddy Blazusiak to Chad Reed is rumored to be on the factory Gas Gas 450 in 2021.

With Lucas Oil Pro Motocross, MXGP, Formula 1, and college football all happening in various forms of normalcy this weekend, maybe.. just maybe… we are turning a corner back to a world I recognize.

Jeremy Martin files an official request to host rounds 6-7-8-9 at Spring Creek. The motion is seconded by one Alexander Martin of the powerhouse Troll Train Group, LLC firm.

My Picks

250

Dylan Ferrandis
Jeremy Martin
Alex Martin

450

Zach Osborne
Eli Tomac
Justin Barcia

  • Injury Report: RedBud 2 Injury Report: RedBud 2 11:30am
  • Gallery: RedBud 1 Gallery: RedBud 1 1:30pm
Presented by:
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
  • Youtube
  • Website
Read Now
March 2023 Issue Now Available
Get Racer X on your iPhone
Check out all the exclusive content this month on any device!
Read Now
The March 2023 Digital Issue Availalbe Now

Motocross & Supercross News - Racer X

122 Vista Del Rio Drive, Morgantown, WV 26508 | 304-284-0084 | Contact Us
©1999 - 2023 Filter Publications LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy
designed at: Website DesignImpulse Studios