After Ryan Villopoto’s dominating performance at Anaheim 1, we thought it’d be cool to compare A1 race winners with title winners of the same year to see what kind of correlation we could find between the two. We chose 1999 as a starting point, because that’s when the opener returned to Anaheim after being held in the Los Angeles Coliseum for several years. Have a look at the stats below, and if you spot any interesting trends, be sure to share them with us in the comments section.
1999
A1 Winner: Ezra Lusk - Finished second in the series
Champ: Jeremy McGrath - Finished seventh at A1
2000
A1 Winner: Jeremy McGrath
Champ: Jeremy McGrath
Ezra Lusk took home the A1 win in 1999, but finished second behind McGrath when all was said and done.
Photo: Moto Verte
2001
A1 Winner: Jeremy McGrath - Finished second in the series
Champ: Ricky Carmichael - Finished third at A1
2002
A1 Winner: David Vuillemin - Finished second in the series
Champ: Ricky Carmichael - Finished twentieth at A1 (DNF)
2003
A1 Winner: Chad Reed - Finished second in the series
Champ: Ricky Carmichael - Finished second at A1
2004
A1 Winner: Chad Reed
Champ: Chad Reed
2005
A1 Winner: Kevin Windham - Finished third in the series
Champ: Ricky Carmichael - Finished third at A1
Reed would take the win at A1 in 2003, but the GOAT would take home the title.
Photo: Moto Verte
2006
A1 Winner: James Stewart - Finished second in the series
Champ: Ricky Carmichael - Finished third at A1
2007
A1 Winner: James Stewart
Champ: James Stewart
2008
A1 Winner: Chad Reed
Champ: Chad Reed
2009
A1 Winner: Josh Grant - Finished fourth in the series
Champ: James Stewart - Finished nineteenth at A1 (DNF)
2010
A1 Winner: James Stewart - Finished twentieth in the series (injury)
Champ: Ryan Dungey - Finished second at A1
2011
A1 Winner: Ryan Villopoto
Champ: Ryan Villopoto
Stewart took home the A1 win and the title in 2007.
Photo: Simon Cudby
The championship odds do not favor the winner of A1. Since 1999, the A1 victor has gone on to win the title just five times, or roughly 38.5 percent of the time. Part of the reason this percentage is so low is because five-time SX Champ Ricky Carmichael never won the opener.
Although several riders have come back from poor finishes at the opener to win the title (McGrath - seventh in ‘99, Carmichael - twentieth in 2002, James Stewart - nineteenth in 2009), it isn’t common. In fact, since 1999, the series champ has been on the box at A1 all but three times.
During this time period, only four competitors that have won at A1 lack championship rings; Ezra Lusk, David Vuillemin, Kevin Windham and Josh Grant.