For 2015, Racer X has partnered with MotoDynasty to bring you Fantasy Supercross. We’ll be offering cool weekly and series prizes; dynasty play; private leagues that just you and you’re buddies can play in; weekly fantasy previews; and weekly podcasts all focused on fantasy. Each week, make sure to check out this preview, which explains how scoring works, how to play, and maybe even how to win. Or visit motodynasty.racerxonline.com.
How many got it right?
Everyone took it on the chin with Jeremy Martin winning. Only 1.5 percent correctly picked it. Then Chad Reed came in and delivered the knock out blow. Only eighty-three users had him making the podium. We got some redemption with 100 percent picking Marvin Musquin to podium and most had Ryan Dungey, Justin Bogle, and Trey Canard in podium positions. All in all a good week.
450SX
Chad Reed | 1st
1st) 1 percent
2nd) 1 percent
3rd) 1 percent
Only 83 users had Reed finishing on the podium
Ryan Dungey | 2nd
1st) 22 percent
2nd) 38 percent
3rd) 27 percent
Eighty-seven percent of all 450 players had Dungey on the podium.
Trey Canard | 3rd
1st) 34 percent
2nd) 20 perent
3rd) 23 percent
Seventy-seven percent of all 450 players had Canard on the podiu
250SX
Jeremy Martin | 1st
1st) 1.5 percent
2nd) 15 percent
3rd) 32 percent
Forty-eight and a half percent of all 250 players had Martin on the podium.
Marvin Musquin | 2nd
1st) 88 percent
2nd) 8 percent
3rd) 4 percent
One hundred percent of all 250 players had Musquin on the podium.
Justin Bogle | 3rd
1st) 9 percent
2nd) 46 percent
3rd) 23 percent
Seventy-eight percent of all 250 players had Bogle on the podium
Qualifying vs. Results
As we've said, it’s vital to study qualifying to make good picks, but one must use caution. We could list the many reasons as to why, or just show you some examples of the best and worst, and what was right on from qualifying to main event results.
Best
450SX
Phil Nicoletti | Qualified: 21st | Finish: 11th | Difference: +10
Cade Clason | Qualified: 30th | Finish: 22nd | Difference: +8
Chad Reed | Qualified: 9th | Finish: 1st | Difference: +8
250SX
Kyle Peters | Qualified: 31st | Finish: 13th | Difference: +18
Brady Kiesel | Qualified: 33rd | Finish: 15th | Difference: +18
Dakota Alix | Qualified: 22nd | Finish: 14th | Difference: +8
Trend: Don’t pay attention to Phil Nicoletti’s qualifying times. The last three weeks he’s qualified 20-22-21. His finishes? 14-13-11.
Missed the Mark
450SX
Eli Tomac | Qualified: 2nd | Finish: 20th | Difference: -18
Ken Roczen | Qualified: 3rd | Finish: 18th | Difference: -15
Davi Millsaps | Qualified: 5th | Finish: 12th | Difference: -7
250SX
Arnaud Tonus | Qualified: 4th | Finish: 10th | Difference: -6
Colt Nichols | Qualified: 6th | Finish: DNQ
AJ Catanzaro | Qualified: 18th | Finish: DNQ
Trend: Millsaps has been fast in qualifying the past three weeks—4-8-5—but hasn’t put it together in the main—20-20-12.
On Point
450SX
Weston Peick | Qualified: 6th | Finish: 5th | Difference: +1
Josh Hill | Qualified: 15th | Finish: 14th | Difference: +1
Jason Anderson | Qualified: 8th | Finish: 7th | Difference: -1
Jake Weimer | Qualified: 14th | Finish: 15th | Difference: -1
250SX
Matt Lemoine | Qualified: 8th | Finish: 7th | Difference: +1
Gannon Audette | Qualified: 13th | Finish: 12th | Difference: +1
Justin Starling | Qualified: 17th | Finish: 18th | Difference: -1
Marvin Musquin | Qualified: 1st | Finish: 2nd | Difference: -1
Trend: Watch Jason Anderson in qualifying—he typically finishes around where he qualifies.
SCORING CHART
Need a refresher on how scoring works? Go here. Want to view the scoring chart? See below.
Place | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | |
1 | 50 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
2 | 22 | 48 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
3 | 20 | 22 | 46 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |
4 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 44 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | |
5 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | |
6 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 41 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | |
7 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 40 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | |
8 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 39 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | |
9 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 38 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | |
10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 37 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | |
11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 36 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | |
12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 35 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | |
13 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 34 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | |
14 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 33 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | |
15 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 32 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | |
16 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 31 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | |
17 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 30 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | |
18 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 17 | |
19 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 20 | 18 | |
20 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 27 | 22 | 20 | |
21 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 26 | 22 | |
22 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 25 |
Top Picks/Sleepers
The 250SX East Region is two rounds in, and it’s still pretty much a crapshoot. Small trends are developing—Musquin a podium fix, Lemoine and Friese top ten shoe-ins—but where you’re going to make points up is 15-22.
Good luck, you’ll need it!
450SX
Jason Anderson | Rockstar Energy Husqvarna | Last week: 7th
Anderson has eight consecutive top-tens to begin his 450SX career. I like him in the 7-10 range. Why? It’s where he’s been since Phoenix.
Cole Seely | Honda HRC | Last week: 4th
Was his fourth last week the quietest fourth in history? Yes. Yes it was. Since Phoenix his stat line reads: 6-5-2-6-10-4. He needs to be around your top five.
Weston Peick | Autotrader.com/Toyota/JGR Yamaha | Last week: 5th
Take out his twenty-second in Arlington, and Peick is averaging a 5.3 finish in 2015. That’s L-E-G-I-T. Fifth to tenth is a safe pick.
Mike Alessi | Smartop/MotoConcetps | Last week: 13th
Picking Alessi has been tough the last four weeks. Going off his stat line—17-13-18-13—pick him around 15-20 to get max points.
250SX
Matt Lemoine | JAB Motorsports | Last week: 7th
Lemoine is as solid as they come. Back to back top tens to begin the year. The test now? Can he jump to the podium.
Anthony Rodriguez | Yamalube/Star Racing Yamaha | Last week: 8th
The second-year pro was mistake free last weekend. That’s a good sign. Top ten is a good pick.
Dakota Alix | FMF/KTM Orange Brigade | Last week: 14th
Back to back main events for the rookie. I like him to make it three in a row.
Jimmy Decotis | Riverside Harley Davidson/Trail Jesters/SOB MX | Last week: 16th
Jimmy D hasn’t been Jimmy D this year. I think he bounces back this weekend and sneaks in the top ten.
AGAINST THE GRAIN
Again: YOU ARE NOT GOING TO PICK UP POINTS PICKING KEN ROCZEN FIRST-THIRD. Just not going to happen. Don't go all crazy if you pick Roczen to finish second, and you nail it, and still lose ground. Even if you hit it on the nose, chances are half of the competition will as well. You pick up points further down the field. Let’s take a look and who may or may not have made up some ground last week.
450SX
- Only 4.7 percent of users and Zack Freeberg making the main; he finished nineteenth.
- The average position selected for Mike Alessi was sixteenth; he finished thirteenth.
- The average position selected for Ken Roczen was third; he finished eighteenth.
- Only 7.7 percent of users had Josh Grant finishing tenth or better. he finished tenth.
- The average position selected for Broc Tickle was tenth; he finished sixth.
- The average position selected for Weston Peick was ninth; he finished fifth.
- The average position selected for Eli Tomac was second; he finished twentieth.
250SX
- The average position selected for RJ Hampshire eleventh; he finished ninth.
- Only 5.4 percent of users had Dakota Alix fifteenth or better; he finished fourteenth.
- The average position selected for Anthony Rodriguez was twelfth; he finished eighth.
- The average position selected for Justin Starling was nineteenth; he finished eighteenth.
- Seventy-eight and a half percent of users had Jace Owen making the main; he finished nineteenth.
- Ninety point nine percent had Vince Friese finishing tenthth or better: he finished sixth.
- The average position selected for Jimmy Decotis was eleventh; he finished sixteenth.
- Thirty-four point two percent of users had Levi Kilbarger making main; he finished twenty-first.
- Only 2.8 percent of users had Gannon Audette finishing twelfth or better; he finished twelfth.
Bonus Picks
I took one on the chin last weekend. Fastest qualifier Eli Tomac? Nope. Heat winner Marvin Musquin? Nah. Holeshot to Roczen? Strike three. You suck. (Thanks for saving me from a goose egg, Marvin. I owe you some crepes. I also got Dungey for heat race. Maybe he can hook me up with some Wheaties. And Davalos for holeshot.) I’ll stick my neck out there again—proceed at your own risk.
Round | Fastest Qualifier | Heat Winners | Holeshot |
A1 | Eli Tomac; Cooper Webb | Andrew Short, Eli Tomac; Justin Hill, Tyler Bowers | Mike Alessi; Jessy Nelson |
Phoenix | Eli Tomac; Cooper Webb | Cole Seely, Eli Tomac; Justin Hill, Jessy Nelson | Eli Tomac; Zach Osborne |
A2 | Justin Barcia; Zach Osborne | Ryan Dungey, Mike Alessi; Cooper Webb, Shane McElrath | Jimmy Albertson; Zach Osborne |
Oakland | Trey Canard; Justin Hill | Ken Roczen, Justin Barcia; Cooper Webb, Jessy Nelson | Andrew Short; Zach Bell |
A3 | Ryan Dungey; Tyler Bowers | Eli Tomac, Ryan Dungey; Malcolm Stewart, Jessy Nelson | Blake Baggett; Matt Bisceglia |
San Diego | Ken Roczen; Tyler Bowers | Eli Tomac, Cole Seely; Justin Hill, Shane McElrath | Ken Roczen; Zach Osborne |
Dallas | Ken Roczen;Marvin Musquin | Ryan Dungey, Trey Canard; Marvin Musquin, Justin Bogle | Ryan Dungey; Marvin Musquin |
ATL1 | Trey Canard; Marvin Musquin | Ryan Dungey, Trey Canard; Joey Savatgy, Martin Davalos | Chad Reed; Martin Davalos |
Last Week's Picks
450SX
Fastest Qualifier: Eli Tomac
Heat Winner: Ryan Dungey
Holeshot: Ken Roczen
250SX
Fastest Qualifier: Marvin Musquin
Heat Winner: Marvin Musquin
Holeshot: Martin Davalos
Picks for Atlanta 2
450SX
Fastest Qualifier: Ken Roczen
Heat Winner: Ryan Dungey
Holeshot: Ryan Dungey
250SX
Fastest Qualifier: Marvin Musquin
Heat Winner: Justin Bogle
Holeshot: Martin Davalos
ADVICE FROM THE SO-CALLED EXPERTS
Steve Matthes, who somehow continues to lead the Racer X League, talked a lot of smack before making his picks last week—and proceeded to lay a giant egg. Let’s review. Nick Schmidt to make main? Nah. Davi Millsaps 5-10? Close, but nope. Quote: “Put Kenny Roczen, Eli Tomac, Ryan Dungey, and Trey Canard in your top four for the 450SX main event. Whatever order you want to actually place them in is up to you, but these four guys are pulling away from the pack in terms of speed and wins. This should be your top four for the main.” About that… He did save himself with a good Baggett pick. Hopefully you didn’t listen to his “expert” advice.
Steve is upset about all of this, so help him out and listen to his fantasy podcast.
We’ve brought in Jordan Roberts to hopefully save this sinking ship.
Five Things I’m Betting on this Week (Jordan Roberts)
1. Eli Tomac and Ken Roczen aren’t going to screw us over this weekend. I almost went into fantasy breakdown as the two riders had their own on-track meltdowns during the main event, but then I looked to my left and right and realized I wasn’t the only sane person to have Eli and Kenny in my top five. They’ll stay there this week, too.
2. A heat race winner. That’s my MO, bro. Hey Marvin, thanks for last weekend!
3. Arnaud Tonus gets fifth in the main. Nobody doubts his speed, but how he’s getting tangled up in the opening laps is debatable. He doesn’t pull a holie, but his start is good enough to ride his own race after dicing with some top guys early on.
4. There is some questionable movement going on in Steve Matthes’ pants due to the over-under bridge. Can we get some side bets going on here?!
5. Chase Stallo does not pass me and move into third on the Racer X leaderboard. In fact, I heard Weege has been neglecting his children this week so he can go all Rain Man on every supercross statistic available in hopes of holding on to that precious second place. That newborn will have to learn how to say “Dada” next week.
Prizes/Winners
[Viewer discretion advised]
Winning is awesome. Congrats to these winners from last week. You’re all number one (two or three) in our book.
450SX
1) Mattmcphail: 449pts | Factory Effex OEM Tracker Jacket and Shirt
2) GarrettDeSheister: 443pts | Factory Effex OEM Pullover Hoodie and Hat
3) Slinky321: 436pts | Factory Effex OEM Shirt and Hat
250SX
1) Randy831: 462pts | Pro Circuit Brigate Backpack
2) Mxer821: 452pts | Pro Circuit Pit Chair
3) bshelkop: 450pts | Pro Circuit/Mechanix Apron
If you didn’t win, don’t freak out—there’s always this week. Check out what we have on tap.
450SX Atlas Prizes
1st place: Atlas Air Neck Brace
2nd place: Atlas Defender Chest Protector
3rd place: Atlas hat and t-shirt
250SX Scott Prizes
1st place: Scott Hustle MX Goggle and C-Note Sunglasses
2nd place: Scott Hustle MX Goggle
3rd place: Scott C-Note Sunglasses
Racer X League
This guy continues to lead our league. (Sigh.)
Want to challenge the Racer X team? Here’s your chance. Each week we will run down the top five in the overall standings of the Racer X Fantasy League. Did you destroy us this week? Let us know in the comments.
Standings After Round 8
1) Steve Matthes: Racer X Editor-at-Large – 6220pts
2) Jason Weigandt: Racer X Online Senior Editor – 6027pts
3) Jordan Roberts: Racer X Marketing Manager – 5992pts
4) Chase Stallo: Racer X Online Managing Editor – 5988pts
5) Andrew Fredrickson: Racer X Illustrated Managing Editor – 5843pts
Thanks for coming out. Hopefully you liked the videos. If not, make sure to complain in the comments. Have any questions or suggestions, hit me up at chase@racerxonline.com or on Twitter.